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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In championnat du Japon de football (Japon) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 81,8% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. championnat du Japon de football Japon 81.8% 148
2. PFL Philippines 78.6% 131
3. MLS Next Pro États-Unis 77.5% 120
4. Primera C Argentine 77.2% 114
5. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentine 76.2% 105
6. NPFL Nigeria 76.1% 335
7. Paulista - U20 Brésil 75.6% 172
8. Torneo Federal A Argentine 73.7% 137
9. championnat d'Argentine de football de deuxième division Argentine 71.5% 151
10. Serie B Brésil 71.3% 101
11. Calcutta Premier Division Inde 70% 120
12. V.League 2 Viêt Nam 68.9% 119
13. USL Championship États-Unis 68.6% 102
14. championnat d'Argentine de football de troisième division Argentine 67% 100
15. Reserve League Argentine 62.5% 120
16. championnat du Vietnam de football Viêt Nam 62.1% 174
17. Football League - Lowland League Écosse 62% 100
18. Major League Soccer États-Unis 60% 130

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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