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Does a half-time lead hold?

How often the side leading at the break goes on to win, among matches where someone actually led.

A half-time lead is safest in Serie D (Brazil): it holds 86.8% of the time.

Does a half-time lead hold?
LeagueLead heldMatches led
1. Serie D Brazil 86.8% 136
2. Esiliiga A Estonia 86.7% 120
3. 2. liga Slovakia 86.5% 104
4. U19 Bundesliga Germany 85.9% 277
5. Meistriliiga Estonia 85.5% 117
6. 3. Lig - Group 2 Türkiye 84.4% 135
7. Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Spain 84% 169
8. Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 Spain 83.9% 180
9. Premier Division Ireland 83.6% 110
10. Super League 1 Greece 83.3% 120
11. Premiership Northern Ireland 83.2% 113
12. NB I Hungary 82.9% 123
13. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgia 82.9% 105
14. Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 Spain 82.7% 168
15. Super Liga Serbia 81.9% 138
16. Second League Bulgaria 81.7% 104
17. I Liga Poland 81.7% 180
18. 1st Division Albania 81.6% 125
19. Prva Liga Serbia 81.5% 130
20. Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B Portugal 81.3% 112
21. Premier League Kazakhstan 80.8% 125
22. Czech Liga Czechia 80.4% 168
23. Primera B Chile 80.3% 117
24. Allsvenskan Sweden 80.3% 132
25. Ligat Ha'al Israel 80.3% 142
26. NB II Hungary 80% 145
27. UEFA Youth League International 80% 105
28. Segunda Liga Portugal 79.8% 109
29. Primera División Femenina Spain 79.8% 104
30. 2. Lig Türkiye 79.7% 281
31. Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 Spain 79.5% 166
32. Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A Portugal 79.4% 131
33. League One China 79.4% 126
34. 1. Division Belarus 79.4% 126
35. Regionalliga - SudWest Germany 79.3% 121
36. Pro League Saudi Arabia 79.3% 145
37. League Two Scotland 79% 100
38. Regionalliga - West Germany 78.7% 127
39. First League Bulgaria 78.6% 117
40. Eredivisie Netherlands 78.6% 154

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

Only matches where the sides were not level at the break. A draw counts as the lead lost.

Match page