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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

บุนเดิสลีกา (เยอรมนี) finishes best: 1.05 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. บุนเดิสลีกา เยอรมนี 1.05 51,214
2. เซเรียอา อิตาลี 1 50,856
3. พรีเมียร์ลีก อังกฤษ 0.942 59,361
4. ลาลิกา สเปน 0.94 57,456
5. ลีกเอิง ฝรั่งเศส 0.936 54,374

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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